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sunsettommy
01-23-2006, 07:33 AM
From WORLDCLIMATE REPORT,

January 20, 2006

Donald Kennedy: Setting Science Back (http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2006/01/20/donald-kennedy-setting-science-back/)


Excerpt:

Filed under: Climate Politics (http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/category/climate-politics/), Hurricanes (http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/category/climate-extreme/hurricanes/) —
Donald Kennedy, the Editor-in-Chief of Science magazine, lately seems more bent on setting science back rather than advancing it.

His editorial page rants on global warming are as predictable as the content of most of the climate change articles in his journal. It hasn’t been lost on many in the science community that he simply refuses to print any “perspectives” piece that doesn’t go along with his take on climate change. If other points of view are so uninformed, why doesn’t he let them out so that they can be held up to ridicule?

But now, observers of the global warming war are beginning to question Kennedy’s competence.


His January 6th editorial prompted Roger Pielke, Jr. to wonder “Does Donald Kennedy Read Science? (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000667does_donald_kennedy_.html)”

Here’s what Pielke, Jr. has to say in his popular science and policy blog Prometheus (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/):In an editorial in the 6 January 2006 issue of Science editor Donald Kennedy writes, “The consequences of the past century’s temperature increase are becoming dramatically apparent in the increased frequency of extreme weather events …”

In a letter published in Science 9 December 2005 written to correct another set of unsupportable claims published in Science about extreme weather events, I wrote,

“Over recent decades, the IPCC found no long-term global trends in extratropical cyclones (i.e., winter storms), in “droughts or wet spells,” or in “tornados, hail, and other severe weather”… A recent study by the International Ad Hoc Detection and Attribution Group concluded that it was unable to detect an anthropogenic signal in global precipitation.”

And even though my brief discussion of hurricanes got lost in the page-proof process (a correction is pending), recent research indicates no increase in the global frequency of tropical cyclones (e.g., Webster et al. 2005), and no long-term increase in the number or intensity of storms striking the U.S. (e.g., Landsea 2005). In short, there is no evidence to support Kennedy’s claim of an “increased frequency of extreme weather events” that can be attributed to increasing global temperatures.

This issue is about more than simply getting the science right. In advancing an explicitly political agenda from a very influential position, Prof. Kennedy is making claims for particular policy actions that won’t work as advertised. As we have written umpteen times here, and backed with research, yes greenhouse gas reductions make sense, but not as a policy instrument for addressing the escalating societal impacts of extreme events. While I have sympathies for Prof. Kennedy’s politics, as a matter of policy, Professor Kennedy’s argument is simply wrong.



http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2006/01/20/donald-kennedy-setting-science-back/#more-135

lot more in the link.
The EDITOR of Science is showing his poor judgement in the Global Warming debate.

DoctorDoom
01-23-2006, 07:50 AM
It's another example of the down side of "professional journals": go with the flow or else.

Timberwolf
01-23-2006, 09:11 AM
Would this be an example of the ever infamous "peer review"?

sunsettommy
01-23-2006, 09:34 AM
Would this be an example of the ever infamous "peer review"?

More like a BIAS from a person who has Editorial powers.A man who should allow various viewpoints on a subject to be published in Science.He does not and that is the problem.He is instead spouting political overtones on a science subject.

He actually ignored or overlooked established papers showing what is really going on.They show strong evidence of a Multi Decadal pattern explaining the increase in hurricanes.

The man is hurting his publication and reputation with his big mouth.

sunsettommy
01-23-2006, 09:40 AM
STORM FRENZY IS NOT AN ANOMALY, BUT A PHASE

Atlantic current may be creating a hurricane hatchery. And the cycle may last 20 years.

By BILL COATS, Times Staff Writer
Published September 13, 2005


Back in 1995, surface waters in the north Atlantic Ocean warmed up a smidgen.

The change was less than a degree, but it marked the first time in a quarter-century that waters were consistently warmer than average.

Storm experts warned of more hurricanes. But nobody grasped the sweeping change that Mother Nature had signaled. FULL ARTICLE HERE (http://www.friendsofscience.org/documents/hurricanes.pdf)

Timberwolf,

This is one report Kennedy overlooks.

sunsettommy
01-23-2006, 09:53 AM
Here is another reason to say that Kennedy is wrong,

January 19, 2006

On Donald Kennedy in Science, Again


Posted to Author: Pielke Jr., R. (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/index.html)| Climate Change (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/index.html)| Disasters (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/disasters/index.html)
In this week’s Science magazine editor Donald Kennedy opines (http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/summary/311/5759/303) that “Not only is the New Orleans damage not an act of God; it shouldn’t even be called a “natural” disaster.” Could it be that he sees the significance of millions of people and trillions of dollars of property in locations exposed to repeated strikes from catastrophic storms? Unfortunately, not at all.

Snip:

The current state of science doesn’t support such claims. Let’s review:
From Kerry Emanuel’s homepage (http://wind.mit.edu/~emanuel/anthro2.htm):
“Q: I gather from this last discussion that it would be absurd to attribute the Katrina disaster to global warming? A: Yes, it would be absurd.”

From Webster et al.(2005) in Science (PDF (http://webster.eas.gatech.edu/Papers/Webster2005b.pdf)):
“. . . attribution of the 30-year trends to global warming would require a longer global data record and, especially, a deeper understanding of the role of hurricanes in the general circulation of the atmosphere and ocean, even in the present climate state.”From RealClimate (http://www.realclimate.org/index.php?p=181):
“. . .there is no way to prove that Katrina either was, or was not, [I]affected by global warming. For a single event, regardless of how extreme, such attribution is fundamentally impossible.” (emphasis added)From Rick Anthes (http://www.ucar.edu/communications/quarterly/fall05/president.html) at UCAR (who effectively used the “act of god” metaphor in his essay):
“Whatever the relationship between hurricanes and global warming turns out to be, it is not likely to be simple, and we will never be able to attribute a single event like Katrina to a changed climate.”If you want to read about Katrina not being an “act of God” I’d recommend this thoughtful essay (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/ogmius/archives/issue_13/ogmius_exchange.html) by former national park service director Roger Kennedy. We criticized (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000667does_donald_kennedy_.html) Donald Kennedy just last week for advocating policies related to extreme weather events that simply cannot work, and this week he backs that up with more of the same. If one actually cares about the impacts of hurricanes, it makes no sense to express concern about hurricane damage without at all mentioning coastal population growth and development. As I have written previously, our continuing focus on the issue of hurricanes and global warming is not simply about getting the science right. It is about advocating policies that can save lives and mitigate damage. Global warming is important, hurricanes are as well, but you can’t kill those two birds with a single stone. You can’t (PDF (http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/resource-1766-2005.36.pdf)).


http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/author_pielke_jr_r/000681on_donald_kennedy_in.html
The Editor iof a prominent science publication should be more careful in what he is saying.