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Forecasters see busy hurricane season [Archive] - FreeConservatives

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Un Con Troll Able
04-04-2006, 10:19 AM
By Michael Christie 22 minutes ago


MIAMI (Reuters) - The 2006 hurricane season will not be as ferocious as last year when Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans and other storms slammed Florida and Texas, but will still be unusually busy, a noted U.S. forecasting team said on Tuesday.

The Colorado State University team led by Dr. William Gray, a pioneer in forecasting storm probabilities, said it expected 17 named storms to form in the Atlantic basin during the six-month season, which officially begins on June 1.

Nine of the storms will strengthen into hurricanes, with winds of at least 74 mph, the team said, reaffirming an early prediction made in December and updated to include current trends like the La Nina weather phenomenon, cool Pacific waters and an abnormally warm Atlantic.
The Colorado State forecasters said five of the hurricanes were likely to be major storms, reaching at least Category 3 on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity, and boasting winds of at least 111 mph. Storms of Category 3 strength and above cause the most destruction.

But they also said there were likely to be fewer major storms making landfall in the United States compared to 2005, when virtually every hurricane record was broken, and also 2004, when Florida was bashed by four consecutive hurricanes.

"Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006-2007 hurricane seasons, or the seasons that follow, will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005," Gray said in a statement.



The rest of the story:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20060404/us_nm/weather_hurricanes_dc;_ylt=Agq0CgCtBcNKgfvp2yBDxWq s0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTA3MjBwMWtkBHNlYwM3MTg-

sunsettommy
04-05-2006, 08:25 PM
Not hard to make such a prediction in light of the situation.

DeclinetoState
04-06-2006, 12:59 AM
Whatever happens, Bush will be blamed for it.

Faithful_Servant
04-06-2006, 01:38 PM
These twits need to spend some time study paleoclimatology. We're currently at the peak of a very regular cycle of hurricane activity. The way they determined this was to take core samples from areas inland from the gulf coast area and look for layers of sea sand. The only way the sand can get that far inland is to be blown there by strong winds, indicating an extended series of hurricanes. The cycle they identified was a very regular long term cycle (I wish I could remember the period) of storms and it very clearly showed that we are currently at the peak of the cycle. No mention of this from the media, they were were too busy showing pics of idiots who weren't smart enough to leave a town that's built where only gators should live.

sunsettommy
04-06-2006, 08:14 PM
These twits need to spend some time study paleoclimatology. We're currently at the peak of a very regular cycle of hurricane activity. The way they determined this was to take core samples from areas inland from the gulf coast area and look for layers of sea sand. The only way the sand can get that far inland is to be blown there by strong winds, indicating an extended series of hurricanes. The cycle they identified was a very regular long term cycle (I wish I could remember the period) of storms and it very clearly showed that we are currently at the peak of the cycle. No mention of this from the media, they were were too busy showing pics of idiots who weren't smart enough to leave a town that's built where only gators should live.

This PDF link talks about the current cycle.

The title is:

Storm frienzy is not an anomaly,but a phase.

http://www.friendsofscience.org/documents/hurricanes.pdf