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sunsettommy
04-23-2006, 03:17 PM
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=570 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=storyTtl>From TCS Daily,

Global Warming Not Featured in New Hurricane Study


Excerpt,


</TD><TD class=miscTxt align=right>Font Size: http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_up_font.gif (http://javascript<b></b>:;)http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_down_font.gif (http://javascript<b></b>:;)http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_default_font.gif (http://javascript<b></b>:;)</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/clear.gif</TD></TR><TR><TD background=/images/dot_3h_2w.gif colSpan=2>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/clear.gif</TD></TR><TR><TD class=storyAuth colSpan=2 height=25>By Dr. Patrick Michaels : BIO (http://www.tcsdaily.com/Authors.aspx?id=263)| 16 Mar 2006 </TD></TR><TR><TD background=/images/dot_1h_3w.gif colSpan=2>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/clear.gif</TD></TR><TR><TD class=artActions style="HEIGHT: 22px" colSpan=2>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_discuss.gif Discuss This Story! (http://www.tcsdaily.com/discussionForum.aspx?fldIdContentType=1&fldTheirID=031606F) (25) http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_mail.gif Email | http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_print.gif (http://javascript<b></b>:;) Print (http://javascript<b></b>:;) | http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_bkmrk.gif (http://javascript<b></b>:doBookmark()) Bookmark (http://javascript<b></b>:doBookmark()) | http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/icon_save.gif (http://javascript<b></b>:doSaveAs()) Save (http://javascript<b></b>:doSaveAs())</TD></TR><TR><TD background=/images/dot_1h_3w.gif colSpan=2>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/clear.gif</TD></TR><TR><TD>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/clear.gif</TD><TD>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/clear.gif</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!--Article Content --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=570 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE id=Body1_GetArticleByArticleID1_Table1 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=story>http://www.tcsdaily.com/images/Library/None/hurricane-sun.jpg The latest Science magazine features a paper linking increasing sea-surface temperatures to global increases in the most severe hurricanes, but it does NOT mention global warming as the cause. Think the newspapers won't?


Over the last few decades, hurricane climate experts have largely eschewed linkages between global warming and increases in the number or strength of hurricanes. That is, until late last summer, when a series of highly publicized papers claimed otherwise. The papers pointed out that sea-surface temperatures (SSTs), the essential fuel of hurricanes, have been increasing in the primary hurricane-development regions pretty much globally since 1970 (the start of global satellite hurricane track and intensity records). Over that time, hurricane intensities have also been on the rise. And since global warming causes SSTs to rise, that must be the cause of the recent spate of strong hurricanes.


The problem with this logic is that hurricanes require a very specific environment to flourish. High SSTs are a necessary but not sufficient condition to spin up strong storms. It is also important that there be very little change in the winds with height; that near surface winds blow in such a manner to cause moist air to gather near the storm's center; and that temperatures decline rapidly with height to promote a very unstable atmosphere, among other factors. One criticism of the studies from last summer is that the focus was almost entirely on SSTs only. In order properly to link hurricane trends to SSTs (and global warming), you need to discount trends in these other, critical variables.


(More here)


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>http://www.tcsdaily.com/article.aspx?id=031606F

Can you spot a section that seems to contradict the Climate Models so effectively?

Naturalized-Texan
04-23-2006, 04:44 PM
This is a link to a data base of Atlantic Tropical Storms from 1851 through 2004:

Atlantic Tropical Storm Tracking by Year (http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/)